Saturday 16 May 2015

Estimating Training Stress Score

Introduction

In order to maintain a meaningful Performance Management Chart it is necessary to measure Training Stress Score. My Powertap is on my training wheels. My race (TT) bike does not have the ability to properly measure power. In order to keep the PMC up to date I therefore need to estimate TSS.

Methods of TSS Estimation

Training Stress Score can be defined as:

(Intensity Factor)^2 x duration (hours)

I’ve tried several estimation methods:

·      Fixed multiple
·      Perceived Exertion
·      Energy Expenditure
·      Estimated Intensity
·      Heart Rate

Fixed Multiple

Based on the average TSS/hr achieved on a number of rides. Estimate is simply (Hours Ridden) x (average TSS/hr).

Perceived Exertion

Joe Friel on Training Peaks quotes the following table:


Energy Expenditure

Based on average TSS/Kj of work. Estimate is simply

(Total work done on ride)/(Average TSS/Kj of work)

Estimated Intensity

Based on personal assessment of intensity %. Estimate is:
(Intensity Factor)^2 x duration (hours)

Heart Rate

Strava and others propose using HR to estimate TSS. In principle this would be better. However I’ve not been comfortable with the results as the HR estimates appear to be much lower than power based measures for very similar rides.

Test Data

In order to compare these methods I took a selection of 6 rides of varying distance, intensity and terrain, where I used my Powertap:

Conclusion


Estimating TSS is clearly inaccurate. Using a Fixed Estimate is quite weak – especially when intensity varies. RPE estimates both too high and too low. Energy seems to be the most reliable of the methods. For me, dividing Energy by 8 gives an approximation of TSS. The estimate tends to be a little high on very low intensity rides.